Trending 1005: 12 Backtests
0 of 12 strategies finished ahead of the benchmark on the raw number, and 0 had an unadjusted p-value under 0.05. None cleared the correction for trying 719 tests in total (a q-value below 0.10), so no result here is a confirmed edge. Scored 2026-10-05, using data up to 2025-03-15.
Strategies here tested on crypto, US stocks. See the full family index, the full method and every result, or download the raw registry (JSON).
Results
| Rule | Market | Vs benchmark | Sample | p-value | Corrected q | Receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/21 EMA cross on daily US large caps, long only receipt Source: YouTube Trade Hunter 9-21 EMA videos (Aug to Sep 2026); r/algotrading 1wledqw ('EMA 9 and EMA 21 aligned'); daily stock version | US stocks | −8.9 pts/yr | 1,862 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | Result file not published yet View on-site receipt |
| Crypto golden cross: long while the 50-day average is above the 200-day average receipt Source: Reddit r/CryptoCurrency 1wbu8wb ('Bitcoin Chart Flashes Golden Cross'), Sep 2026 | crypto | −47.9 pts/yr | 133 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | Result file not published yet View on-site receipt |
| Crypto bull regime: long after 30 straight closes above the 200-day average, out on the first close below receipt Source: Reddit r/CryptoCurrency 1woxcq1 ('closes above its 200 Day Moving Average for at least 30 days') | crypto | −48.6 pts/yr | 127 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | Result file not published yet View on-site receipt |
| Uptober: hold crypto through October only, in cash the other eleven months receipt Source: 24/7 Wall St, Sam Daodu, 2026-10-01 ('a sort of mythos known as Uptober'); Lark Davis 'Bitcoin Enters Uptober' (Oct 2026) | crypto | −53.6 pts/yr | 111 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | Result file not published yet View on-site receipt |
| ICT-style Asia range sweep in London, no stop or target, flat at 20:00 UTC receipt Source: Reddit r/Daytrading 1wf36to ('Mark out Asia high/low + London high/low', 'TP at 2R', 'B/E after 1R'); hourly crypto version | crypto | −132.5 pts/yr | 10,188 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | Result file not published yet View on-site receipt |
| ICT-style Asia range sweep in London, 2R target, stop moved to entry after 1R receipt Source: Reddit r/Daytrading 1wf36to ('Mark out Asia high/low + London high/low', 'TP at 2R', 'B/E after 1R'); hourly crypto version | crypto | −132.8 pts/yr | 10,188 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | Result file not published yet View on-site receipt |
| ICT-style Asia range sweep in the London session, close back inside, stop at the sweep wick, 2R target receipt Source: Reddit r/Daytrading 1wf36to ('Mark out Asia high/low + London high/low', 'TP at 2R', 'B/E after 1R'); hourly crypto version | crypto | −133.2 pts/yr | 10,188 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | Result file not published yet View on-site receipt |
| 9/21 EMA cross on hourly crypto, always in: long when 9 is above 21, short when below receipt Source: YouTube Trade Hunter '9-21 EMA Intraday Trading Strategy' (Aug 2026) and '9-21 EMA Strategy Tested on 100 Trades' (Sep 2026) | crypto | −136.0 pts/yr | 21,714 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | Result file not published yet View on-site receipt |
| Opening range breakout, first UTC hour, entries only in the next 2 hours, 2R target, stop at the other edge receipt Source: Reddit r/Daytrading 1wdsegp ('no trading after 10:15') and 1w6samx (15-minute ORB); hourly crypto version | crypto | −143.0 pts/yr | 12,141 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | Result file not published yet View on-site receipt |
| Opening range breakout, first hour of the UTC day, stop at the other edge, out at day end receipt Source: Reddit r/Trading 1w6samx and r/Daytrading 1wp9pgy (15-minute ORB); hourly crypto version of the same rule | crypto | −149.8 pts/yr | 19,765 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | Result file not published yet View on-site receipt |
| Session VWAP reclaim (close back above VWAP), exit on a close below the 9 EMA, long only receipt Source: Reddit r/Daytrading 1wi7h4j ('A VWAP reclaim would look clean'), r/options 1womyhg (9 EMA for exits); hourly crypto version | crypto | −158.2 pts/yr | 39,677 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | Result file not published yet View on-site receipt |
| Session VWAP plus 9 EMA trend rule: long above both, short below both, flat when they disagree receipt Source: Reddit r/options 1womyhg ('mainly VWAP and 9 EMA'); YouTube VWAP strategy videos, Aug to Sep 2026; hourly crypto version | crypto | −183.8 pts/yr | 100,047 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | Result file not published yet View on-site receipt |
- 9/21 EMA cross on daily US large caps, long only
US stocks · −8.9 pts/yr · 1,862 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- YouTube Trade Hunter 9-21 EMA videos (Aug to Sep 2026); r/algotrading 1wledqw ('EMA 9 and EMA 21 aligned'); daily stock version
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- Result file not published yet
View on-site receipt
- Crypto golden cross: long while the 50-day average is above the 200-day average
crypto · −47.9 pts/yr · 133 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- Reddit r/CryptoCurrency 1wbu8wb ('Bitcoin Chart Flashes Golden Cross'), Sep 2026
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- Result file not published yet
View on-site receipt
- Crypto bull regime: long after 30 straight closes above the 200-day average, out on the first close below
crypto · −48.6 pts/yr · 127 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- Reddit r/CryptoCurrency 1woxcq1 ('closes above its 200 Day Moving Average for at least 30 days')
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- Result file not published yet
View on-site receipt
- Uptober: hold crypto through October only, in cash the other eleven months
crypto · −53.6 pts/yr · 111 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- 24/7 Wall St, Sam Daodu, 2026-10-01 ('a sort of mythos known as Uptober'); Lark Davis 'Bitcoin Enters Uptober' (Oct 2026)
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- Result file not published yet
View on-site receipt
- ICT-style Asia range sweep in London, no stop or target, flat at 20:00 UTC
crypto · −132.5 pts/yr · 10,188 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- Reddit r/Daytrading 1wf36to ('Mark out Asia high/low + London high/low', 'TP at 2R', 'B/E after 1R'); hourly crypto version
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- Result file not published yet
View on-site receipt
- ICT-style Asia range sweep in London, 2R target, stop moved to entry after 1R
crypto · −132.8 pts/yr · 10,188 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- Reddit r/Daytrading 1wf36to ('Mark out Asia high/low + London high/low', 'TP at 2R', 'B/E after 1R'); hourly crypto version
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- Result file not published yet
View on-site receipt
- ICT-style Asia range sweep in the London session, close back inside, stop at the sweep wick, 2R target
crypto · −133.2 pts/yr · 10,188 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- Reddit r/Daytrading 1wf36to ('Mark out Asia high/low + London high/low', 'TP at 2R', 'B/E after 1R'); hourly crypto version
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- Result file not published yet
View on-site receipt
- 9/21 EMA cross on hourly crypto, always in: long when 9 is above 21, short when below
crypto · −136.0 pts/yr · 21,714 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- YouTube Trade Hunter '9-21 EMA Intraday Trading Strategy' (Aug 2026) and '9-21 EMA Strategy Tested on 100 Trades' (Sep 2026)
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- Result file not published yet
View on-site receipt
- Opening range breakout, first UTC hour, entries only in the next 2 hours, 2R target, stop at the other edge
crypto · −143.0 pts/yr · 12,141 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- Reddit r/Daytrading 1wdsegp ('no trading after 10:15') and 1w6samx (15-minute ORB); hourly crypto version
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- Result file not published yet
View on-site receipt
- Opening range breakout, first hour of the UTC day, stop at the other edge, out at day end
crypto · −149.8 pts/yr · 19,765 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- Reddit r/Trading 1w6samx and r/Daytrading 1wp9pgy (15-minute ORB); hourly crypto version of the same rule
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- Result file not published yet
View on-site receipt
- Session VWAP reclaim (close back above VWAP), exit on a close below the 9 EMA, long only
crypto · −158.2 pts/yr · 39,677 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- Reddit r/Daytrading 1wi7h4j ('A VWAP reclaim would look clean'), r/options 1womyhg (9 EMA for exits); hourly crypto version
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- Result file not published yet
View on-site receipt
- Session VWAP plus 9 EMA trend rule: long above both, short below both, flat when they disagree
crypto · −183.8 pts/yr · 100,047 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- Reddit r/options 1womyhg ('mainly VWAP and 9 EMA'); YouTube VWAP strategy videos, Aug to Sep 2026; hourly crypto version
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- Result file not published yet
View on-site receipt
How to read these results
"Vs benchmark" is the strategy's annualized return minus an equal-weight benchmark, rebalanced daily, on the same assets and days. Strategies are charged trading costs; the benchmark pays none. Ahead is not a confirmed edge: the p-value is the unadjusted chance of a gap this large by luck, and the corrected q allows for how many strategies were tried, because testing hundreds of ideas throws up lucky winners. Every strategy saw only data up to the same cutoff date. The receipt is the frozen result file for that rule.
"Sample" is trades for rules that enter and exit a position, and rebalances for portfolio rules. A rebalance is a scheduled date on which a portfolio rule re-ranks and held at least one position. It is the sample size for portfolio rules. A holdings change is a rebalance where what the portfolio held, or its weights, differed from the previous one. Only these cost money to trade. The two are different counts and are never swapped. Definitions.