1,342 Trading Strategies Tested vs a Benchmark

1,342 strategies across 77 families. None passed the corrected test against an equal-weight benchmark that pays no costs.

We coded 1,342 published or popular trading strategies (1,759 scored runs) and ran each through one harness that charges trading costs, compares against an equal-weight benchmark rebalanced daily that pays no trading costs, and only sees data up to 2025-03-15. 265 finished ahead of it on the raw number. After Benjamini-Hochberg correction across 1,774 tests, 0 met the q < 0.1 threshold. That does not prove no strategy works.

The strategies split 510 crypto, 366 ETF and 466 US-stock tests across 77 families, covering momentum, mean reversion, macro, sentiment and event-driven setups. Every family has its own results page, indexed at https://tickfloor.com/research/strategies, and none of them is allowed to see data past the discovery cutoff before its numbers are locked in.

The full registry is published at https://tickfloor.com/research-registry.json.

Multiple testing is the reason a raw win count is the wrong headline number: score enough strategies and some will clear p < 0.05 purely by chance, the same way flipping enough coins turns up a run of heads. Benjamini-Hochberg correction controls the share of those false discoveries across the whole batch rather than judging each strategy in isolation, which is why the corrected figure, not the raw one, is the one that matters here.

Strategies pay trading costs and the benchmark pays none, so every comparison here is tilted against the strategies. Costs are not the whole story: re-run with zero costs, 196 of the 211 strategies we could re-run still lag the benchmark. The same harness and the same discovery cutoff apply to every result on this page and every family page beneath it.

See the results, the research desk, every strategy family, every published test, newest first, the course, first two lessons free, a worked example, one claim we tested, does the golden cross work, does the TJR / ICT sweep and FVG model work, does low-beta crypto beat an equal-weight benchmark, does crypto trend following work, does Fear & Greed timing work, does VIX term structure timing work, does an RSI strategy work, do moving average crossovers work, does the Ichimoku cloud work, does the 81% opening range breakout work, does the volume profile POC strategy work, does the ICT liquidity sweep work, does the Supertrend indicator work, do order blocks work, does the Bitcoin halving cycle work as a strategy, does the Squeeze Momentum indicator work, does the head and shoulders pattern work, does Turnaround Tuesday work, does the Heikin-Ashi strategy work, what slippage is, what a stop-loss is, what the RSI is, what walk-forward analysis is, what overfitting is, every popular trading rule we tested, the 5 trending trading techniques of 2026, tested, the trading glossary, the trading concepts library, every course lesson by topic, how strategies did on crypto, how strategies did on US stocks, how strategies did on ETFs, the paper trading simulator, the funded-account challenge, the daily chart drills, a free check on whether a backtest is just luck, the prop firm drawdown calculator, how Tickfloor compares to TradingView.