Is My Backtest Just Luck? Free Checker

A free tool for anyone with a backtest that looks good. Paste your trade-by-trade profit and loss, or enter win rate, trade count, average win and average loss, then say how many variants you tried before settling on this one.

It shows the chance that the best of that many no-edge tries would look at least this good by luck alone, in plain English. It assumes independent trades and counts only what you tell it, so treat it as a sanity check. General information, not personal advice.

See the evidence, the results, the research desk, every strategy family, the course, first two lessons free, a worked example, one claim we tested, does the golden cross work, does the TJR / ICT sweep and FVG model work, does low-beta crypto beat an equal-weight benchmark, does crypto trend following work, does Fear & Greed timing work, does VIX term structure timing work, does an RSI strategy work, do moving average crossovers work, does the Ichimoku cloud work, does the 81% opening range breakout work, does the volume profile POC strategy work, does the ICT liquidity sweep work, does the Supertrend indicator work, do order blocks work, does the Bitcoin halving cycle work as a strategy, does the Squeeze Momentum indicator work, does the head and shoulders pattern work, does Turnaround Tuesday work, does the Heikin-Ashi strategy work, every popular trading rule we tested, the 5 trending trading techniques of 2026, tested, the trading glossary, the trading concepts library, every course lesson by topic, how strategies did on crypto, how strategies did on US stocks, how strategies did on ETFs, the paper trading simulator, the funded-account challenge, the daily chart drills, how Tickfloor compares to TradingView.