Social media chart patterns: 10 Backtests
We backtested 10 social media chart patterns strategies across crypto, US stocks. 0 beat buy-and-hold before correction; best −14.5 pts/yr.
Every result below is the strategy's annualized return minus buy-and-hold on the same assets and days, charged real trading costs and scored only on data up to the discovery cutoff. See the full family index, the full method and every result, or download the raw registry (JSON).
0 of these 10 strategies were significant at p < 0.05 before any correction for multiple testing, and 0 of 10 beat buy-and-hold on the raw excess-return number across crypto, US stocks. Across the whole registry we ran 260 tests and applied one Benjamini-Hochberg correction; only 0 of those survived it, which is why a single significant p-value inside one family isn't treated as a working edge here — the correction is explained in full on the evidence page. This family was last re-scored on 2026-09-18, using only data up to the 2025-03-15 discovery cutoff — the same freeze point every family in the registry is held to, so none of them can see data the others couldn't. Social media chart patterns is tested across 2 asset classes (crypto, US stocks); a strategy only joins this family because of the signal it trades on, not the asset it's tested against.
- Three white soldiers / three black crows candlestick pattern (wide US stocks) (US stocks): −14.5 pts/yr, behind buy-and-hold, p=1.000. Source: TikTok/Instagram candlestick-pattern reels; Bulkowski pattern stats as academic baseline.
- Ichimoku Cloud breakout + Tenkan/Kijun cross (wide US stocks) (US stocks): −14.6 pts/yr, behind buy-and-hold, p=1.000. Source: YouTube Ichimoku strategy tutorials, r/algotrading Ichimoku threads.
- ADX(14)>25 filter with +DI/-DI cross (wide US stocks) (US stocks): −14.7 pts/yr, behind buy-and-hold, p=1.000. Source: TradingView/YouTube ADX+DMI strategy tutorials.
- Heikin-Ashi candle color-flip trend system (wide US stocks) (US stocks): −18.1 pts/yr, behind buy-and-hold, p=1.000. Source: YouTube 'Heikin-Ashi trading strategy' tutorials.
- RSI(14) 50-midline trend filter (not overbought/oversold) (crypto): −18.5 pts/yr, behind buy-and-hold, p=1.000. Source: YouTube 'RSI 50 line strategy' videos, Constance Brown RSI trend-mode concept.
- Triple EMA ribbon alignment (8/21/55) (crypto): −29.5 pts/yr, behind buy-and-hold, p=1.000. Source: TikTok/YouTube 'EMA ribbon' trend-following content.
- Ichimoku Cloud breakout + Tenkan/Kijun cross (crypto): −41.9 pts/yr, behind buy-and-hold, p=1.000. Source: YouTube Ichimoku strategy tutorials, r/algotrading Ichimoku threads.
- Heikin-Ashi candle color-flip trend system (crypto): −47.4 pts/yr, behind buy-and-hold, p=1.000. Source: YouTube 'Heikin-Ashi trading strategy' tutorials.
- Three white soldiers / three black crows candlestick pattern (crypto): −58.9 pts/yr, behind buy-and-hold, p=1.000. Source: TikTok/Instagram candlestick-pattern reels; Bulkowski pattern stats as academic baseline.
- ADX(14)>25 filter with +DI/-DI cross (crypto): −70.6 pts/yr, behind buy-and-hold, p=1.000. Source: TradingView/YouTube ADX+DMI strategy tutorials.
Related families: Managed futures trend, Calendar, Trading books.