Social media chart patterns: 47 Backtests
Data last updated
Indicator rules that spread through trading videos and social posts, coded from how they are taught.
2 of 47 strategies finished ahead of the benchmark on the raw number, and 0 had an unadjusted p-value under 0.05. None cleared the correction for trying 1,774 tests in total (a q-value below 0.10), so no result here is a confirmed edge. Scored 2026-10-31, using data up to 2025-03-15.
Strategies here tested on crypto, ETFs, US stocks. See the full family index, the full method and every result, or download the raw registry (JSON).
Results
| Rule | Market | Vs benchmark | Sample | p-value | Corrected q | Receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Does buying crypto with the strongest Relative Vigor Index work? receipt Source: retail trading content: Relative Vigor Index RVI crypto strength ranking | crypto | +49.2 pts/yr | 339 rebalances | 0.098 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Does the Supertrend indicator work on crypto? receipt Source: retail trading content: supertrend 10 3 crypto strategy | crypto | +6.0 pts/yr | 434 trades | 0.419 | 1.000 | On-site receipt Full test: Supertrend |
| Does the Random Walk Index work as a stock-selection signal? receipt Source: retail trading content: Michael Poulos Random Walk Index stock trading strategy | US stocks | −0.0 pts/yr | 430 rebalances | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Does the Price Momentum Oscillator work on crypto? receipt Source: retail trading content: DecisionPoint Price Momentum Oscillator PMO crypto strategy | crypto | −0.0 pts/yr | 720 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Does the golden cross (50/200) work across sector ETFs? receipt Source: retail trading content: golden cross death cross etf strategy | ETFs | −2.2 pts/yr | 175 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Does the Hull moving average work on ETFs? receipt Source: alanhull.com | ETFs | −3.2 pts/yr | 1,580 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Does the Awesome Oscillator saucer setup work on stocks? receipt Source: retail trading content: Bill Williams Awesome Oscillator bullish saucer strategy | US stocks | −4.2 pts/yr | 396 rebalances | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Does the Fisher Transform indicator work on crypto? receipt Source: retail trading content: Ehlers Fisher Transform nine period crypto strategy | crypto | −4.6 pts/yr | 2,592 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Does the McGinley Dynamic work on crypto? receipt Source: retail trading content: McGinley Dynamic 20 period crypto trading strategy | crypto | −5.5 pts/yr | 1,489 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Does Wilder's Accumulative Swing Index work on ETFs? receipt Source: J. Welles Wilder Jr., New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems (1978) | ETFs | −5.6 pts/yr | 3,401 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Does Laguerre RSI work on ETFs? receipt Source: retail trading content: John Ehlers Laguerre RSI gamma 0.5 strategy | ETFs | −6.0 pts/yr | 1,838 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Does the Klinger volume oscillator work on ETFs? receipt Source: tradingview.com | ETFs | −6.4 pts/yr | 5,247 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Does the Vertical Horizontal Filter identify stock trends worth buying? receipt Source: retail trading content: Vertical Horizontal Filter Adam White stock trend strategy | US stocks | −6.5 pts/yr | 387 rebalances | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Does the Mass Index reversal bulge work on ETFs? receipt Source: tradingview.com | ETFs | −7.0 pts/yr | 70 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Negative volume index receipt Source: none published (Tickfloor research-desk test) | US stocks | −7.7 pts/yr | 386 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Does the Accelerator Oscillator three-green-bars rule work? receipt Source: retail trading content: Bill Williams Accelerator Oscillator three green bars below zero | US stocks | −11.6 pts/yr | 414 rebalances | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Does the Gann HiLo Activator work on daily stocks? receipt Source: retail trading content: Gann HiLo Activator three day stock trend strategy | US stocks | −12.3 pts/yr | 6,654 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Volume price trend receipt Source: none published (Tickfloor research-desk test) | US stocks | −12.4 pts/yr | 591 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Ease of movement receipt Source: none published (Tickfloor research-desk test) | US stocks | −12.8 pts/yr | 684 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Does the Ehlers Center of Gravity oscillator work on stocks? receipt Source: retail trading content: Ehlers Center of Gravity oscillator turning point stock strategy | US stocks | −13.0 pts/yr | 5,403 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Positive volume index receipt Source: none published (Tickfloor research-desk test) | US stocks | −13.5 pts/yr | 420 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Elder force index receipt Source: none published (Tickfloor research-desk test) | US stocks | −13.5 pts/yr | 861 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Accumulation distribution oscillator receipt Source: none published (Tickfloor research-desk test) | US stocks | −13.8 pts/yr | 896 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Three white soldiers / three black crows candlestick pattern (wide US stocks) receipt Source: TikTok/Instagram candlestick-pattern reels; Bulkowski pattern stats as academic baseline | US stocks | −14.5 pts/yr | 1,447 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt Full test: Candlestick Patterns |
| Ichimoku Cloud breakout + Tenkan/Kijun cross (wide US stocks) receipt Source: YouTube Ichimoku strategy tutorials, r/algotrading Ichimoku threads | US stocks | −14.6 pts/yr | 8,595 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| ADX(14)>25 filter with +DI/-DI cross (wide US stocks) receipt Source: TradingView/YouTube ADX+DMI strategy tutorials | US stocks | −14.7 pts/yr | 3,477 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Does the Trend Trigger Factor work on crypto? receipt Source: retail trading content: Trend Trigger Factor 15 period 100 threshold crypto strategy | crypto | −17.4 pts/yr | 468 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Chaikin money flow confirmation receipt Source: none published (Tickfloor research-desk test) | US stocks | −17.7 pts/yr | 651 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Heikin-Ashi candle color-flip trend system (wide US stocks) receipt Source: YouTube 'Heikin-Ashi trading strategy' tutorials | US stocks | −18.1 pts/yr | 5,351 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt Full test: Heikin-Ashi |
| Persistent high closes receipt Source: none published (Tickfloor research-desk test) | US stocks | −18.4 pts/yr | 397 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Bullish outside-bar continuation receipt Source: none published (Tickfloor research-desk test) | US stocks | −18.4 pts/yr | 206 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| RSI(14) 50-midline trend filter (not overbought/oversold) receipt Source: YouTube 'RSI 50 line strategy' videos, Constance Brown RSI trend-mode concept | crypto | −18.5 pts/yr | 1,086 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt Full test: RSI Trading Strategy |
| Does the VIDYA adaptive moving average work on crypto? receipt Source: retail trading content: VIDYA Chande momentum adaptive moving average crypto strategy | crypto | −19.8 pts/yr | 1,398 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Does the FRAMA adaptive moving average work on crypto? receipt Source: retail trading content: Ehlers FRAMA fractal adaptive moving average crypto strategy | crypto | −24.7 pts/yr | 3,296 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Does Supertrend plus an ADX filter work on crypto? receipt Source: retail trading content: supertrend adx combo strategy | crypto | −27.8 pts/yr | 467 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt Full test: Supertrend |
| Does the Schaff Trend Cycle work on crypto? receipt Source: retail trading content: Schaff Trend Cycle 23 50 10 trading strategy | crypto | −28.2 pts/yr | 1,237 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Triple EMA ribbon alignment (8/21/55) receipt Source: TikTok/YouTube 'EMA ribbon' trend-following content | crypto | −29.5 pts/yr | 2,517 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt Full test: Moving Average Crossover |
| Does Ehlers' Cyber Cycle work on crypto? receipt Source: John F. Ehlers, Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures (2004) | crypto | −38.5 pts/yr | 2,468 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Ichimoku Cloud breakout + Tenkan/Kijun cross receipt Source: YouTube Ichimoku strategy tutorials, r/algotrading Ichimoku threads | crypto | −41.9 pts/yr | 914 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt Full test: Ichimoku Cloud |
| Heikin-Ashi candle color-flip trend system receipt Source: YouTube 'Heikin-Ashi trading strategy' tutorials | crypto | −47.4 pts/yr | 1,249 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt Full test: Candlestick Patterns Full test: Heikin-Ashi |
| Does the Stochastic RSI work on crypto? receipt Source: retail trading content: stochastic rsi crypto strategy 20 80 | crypto | −51.9 pts/yr | 926 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Does leaving a choppy market identify a crypto trend? receipt Source: retail trading content: Choppiness Index 61.8 release crypto trend strategy | crypto | −55.5 pts/yr | 530 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Three white soldiers / three black crows candlestick pattern receipt Source: TikTok/Instagram candlestick-pattern reels; Bulkowski pattern stats as academic baseline | crypto | −58.9 pts/yr | 223 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt Full test: Candlestick Patterns |
| Does the 9/21 EMA cross work on 1-hour crypto? receipt Source: retail trading content: 9 21 ema crossover crypto 1h scalping | crypto | −62.9 pts/yr | 9,911 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Does Bill Williams' Market Facilitation Index work on crypto? receipt Source: metatrader4.com | crypto | −64.4 pts/yr | 3,910 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| Does the Chande Forecast Oscillator work on crypto? receipt Source: retail trading content: Chande Forecast Oscillator linear regression crypto strategy | crypto | −67.3 pts/yr | 3,931 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt |
| ADX(14)>25 filter with +DI/-DI cross receipt Source: TradingView/YouTube ADX+DMI strategy tutorials | crypto | −70.6 pts/yr | 452 trades | 1.000 | 1.000 | On-site receipt Full test: ADX and Parabolic SAR |
- Does buying crypto with the strongest Relative Vigor Index work?
crypto · +49.2 pts/yr · 339 rebalances · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: Relative Vigor Index RVI crypto strength ranking
- p-value
- 0.098
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does the Supertrend indicator work on crypto?
crypto · +6.0 pts/yr · 434 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: supertrend 10 3 crypto strategy
- p-value
- 0.419
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does the Random Walk Index work as a stock-selection signal?
US stocks · −0.0 pts/yr · 430 rebalances · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: Michael Poulos Random Walk Index stock trading strategy
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does the Price Momentum Oscillator work on crypto?
crypto · −0.0 pts/yr · 720 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: DecisionPoint Price Momentum Oscillator PMO crypto strategy
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does the golden cross (50/200) work across sector ETFs?
ETFs · −2.2 pts/yr · 175 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: golden cross death cross etf strategy
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does the Hull moving average work on ETFs?
ETFs · −3.2 pts/yr · 1,580 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- alanhull.com
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does the Awesome Oscillator saucer setup work on stocks?
US stocks · −4.2 pts/yr · 396 rebalances · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: Bill Williams Awesome Oscillator bullish saucer strategy
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does the Fisher Transform indicator work on crypto?
crypto · −4.6 pts/yr · 2,592 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: Ehlers Fisher Transform nine period crypto strategy
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does the McGinley Dynamic work on crypto?
crypto · −5.5 pts/yr · 1,489 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: McGinley Dynamic 20 period crypto trading strategy
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does Wilder's Accumulative Swing Index work on ETFs?
ETFs · −5.6 pts/yr · 3,401 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- J. Welles Wilder Jr., New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems (1978)
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does Laguerre RSI work on ETFs?
ETFs · −6.0 pts/yr · 1,838 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: John Ehlers Laguerre RSI gamma 0.5 strategy
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does the Klinger volume oscillator work on ETFs?
ETFs · −6.4 pts/yr · 5,247 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- tradingview.com
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does the Vertical Horizontal Filter identify stock trends worth buying?
US stocks · −6.5 pts/yr · 387 rebalances · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: Vertical Horizontal Filter Adam White stock trend strategy
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does the Mass Index reversal bulge work on ETFs?
ETFs · −7.0 pts/yr · 70 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- tradingview.com
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Negative volume index
US stocks · −7.7 pts/yr · 386 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- none published (Tickfloor research-desk test)
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does the Accelerator Oscillator three-green-bars rule work?
US stocks · −11.6 pts/yr · 414 rebalances · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: Bill Williams Accelerator Oscillator three green bars below zero
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does the Gann HiLo Activator work on daily stocks?
US stocks · −12.3 pts/yr · 6,654 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: Gann HiLo Activator three day stock trend strategy
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Volume price trend
US stocks · −12.4 pts/yr · 591 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- none published (Tickfloor research-desk test)
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Ease of movement
US stocks · −12.8 pts/yr · 684 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- none published (Tickfloor research-desk test)
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does the Ehlers Center of Gravity oscillator work on stocks?
US stocks · −13.0 pts/yr · 5,403 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: Ehlers Center of Gravity oscillator turning point stock strategy
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Positive volume index
US stocks · −13.5 pts/yr · 420 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- none published (Tickfloor research-desk test)
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Elder force index
US stocks · −13.5 pts/yr · 861 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- none published (Tickfloor research-desk test)
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Accumulation distribution oscillator
US stocks · −13.8 pts/yr · 896 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- none published (Tickfloor research-desk test)
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Three white soldiers / three black crows candlestick pattern (wide US stocks)
US stocks · −14.5 pts/yr · 1,447 trades · corrected q 1.000
Full test: Candlestick Patterns
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- TikTok/Instagram candlestick-pattern reels; Bulkowski pattern stats as academic baseline
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Ichimoku Cloud breakout + Tenkan/Kijun cross (wide US stocks)
US stocks · −14.6 pts/yr · 8,595 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- YouTube Ichimoku strategy tutorials, r/algotrading Ichimoku threads
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- ADX(14)>25 filter with +DI/-DI cross (wide US stocks)
US stocks · −14.7 pts/yr · 3,477 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- TradingView/YouTube ADX+DMI strategy tutorials
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does the Trend Trigger Factor work on crypto?
crypto · −17.4 pts/yr · 468 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: Trend Trigger Factor 15 period 100 threshold crypto strategy
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Chaikin money flow confirmation
US stocks · −17.7 pts/yr · 651 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- none published (Tickfloor research-desk test)
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Heikin-Ashi candle color-flip trend system (wide US stocks)
US stocks · −18.1 pts/yr · 5,351 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- YouTube 'Heikin-Ashi trading strategy' tutorials
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Persistent high closes
US stocks · −18.4 pts/yr · 397 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- none published (Tickfloor research-desk test)
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Bullish outside-bar continuation
US stocks · −18.4 pts/yr · 206 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- none published (Tickfloor research-desk test)
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- RSI(14) 50-midline trend filter (not overbought/oversold)
crypto · −18.5 pts/yr · 1,086 trades · corrected q 1.000
Full test: RSI Trading Strategy
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- YouTube 'RSI 50 line strategy' videos, Constance Brown RSI trend-mode concept
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does the VIDYA adaptive moving average work on crypto?
crypto · −19.8 pts/yr · 1,398 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: VIDYA Chande momentum adaptive moving average crypto strategy
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does the FRAMA adaptive moving average work on crypto?
crypto · −24.7 pts/yr · 3,296 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: Ehlers FRAMA fractal adaptive moving average crypto strategy
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does Supertrend plus an ADX filter work on crypto?
crypto · −27.8 pts/yr · 467 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: supertrend adx combo strategy
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does the Schaff Trend Cycle work on crypto?
crypto · −28.2 pts/yr · 1,237 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: Schaff Trend Cycle 23 50 10 trading strategy
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Triple EMA ribbon alignment (8/21/55)
crypto · −29.5 pts/yr · 2,517 trades · corrected q 1.000
Full test: Moving Average Crossover
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- TikTok/YouTube 'EMA ribbon' trend-following content
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does Ehlers' Cyber Cycle work on crypto?
crypto · −38.5 pts/yr · 2,468 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- John F. Ehlers, Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures (2004)
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Ichimoku Cloud breakout + Tenkan/Kijun cross
crypto · −41.9 pts/yr · 914 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- YouTube Ichimoku strategy tutorials, r/algotrading Ichimoku threads
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Heikin-Ashi candle color-flip trend system
crypto · −47.4 pts/yr · 1,249 trades · corrected q 1.000
Full test: Candlestick Patterns
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- YouTube 'Heikin-Ashi trading strategy' tutorials
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does the Stochastic RSI work on crypto?
crypto · −51.9 pts/yr · 926 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: stochastic rsi crypto strategy 20 80
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does leaving a choppy market identify a crypto trend?
crypto · −55.5 pts/yr · 530 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: Choppiness Index 61.8 release crypto trend strategy
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Three white soldiers / three black crows candlestick pattern
crypto · −58.9 pts/yr · 223 trades · corrected q 1.000
Full test: Candlestick Patterns
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- TikTok/Instagram candlestick-pattern reels; Bulkowski pattern stats as academic baseline
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does the 9/21 EMA cross work on 1-hour crypto?
crypto · −62.9 pts/yr · 9,911 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: 9 21 ema crossover crypto 1h scalping
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does Bill Williams' Market Facilitation Index work on crypto?
crypto · −64.4 pts/yr · 3,910 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- metatrader4.com
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- Does the Chande Forecast Oscillator work on crypto?
crypto · −67.3 pts/yr · 3,931 trades · corrected q 1.000
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- retail trading content: Chande Forecast Oscillator linear regression crypto strategy
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
- ADX(14)>25 filter with +DI/-DI cross
crypto · −70.6 pts/yr · 452 trades · corrected q 1.000
Full test: ADX and Parabolic SAR
Source, p-value and result file
- Source
- TradingView/YouTube ADX+DMI strategy tutorials
- p-value
- 1.000
- Corrected q
- 1.000
- Receipt
- On-site receipt
How to read these results
"Vs benchmark" is the strategy's annualized return minus an equal-weight benchmark, rebalanced daily, on the same assets and days. Strategies are charged trading costs; the benchmark pays none. Ahead is not a confirmed edge: the p-value is the unadjusted chance of a gap this large by luck, and the corrected q allows for how many strategies were tried, because testing hundreds of ideas throws up lucky winners. Every strategy saw only data up to the same cutoff date. The receipt is the frozen result file for that rule.
"Sample" is trades for rules that enter and exit a position, and rebalances for portfolio rules. A rebalance is a scheduled date on which a portfolio rule re-ranks and held at least one position. It is the sample size for portfolio rules. A holdings change is a rebalance where what the portfolio held, or its weights, differed from the previous one. Only these cost money to trade. The two are different counts and are never swapped. Definitions.