MACD + RSI Confluence: claimed vs measured

73 to 90% is the win rate claimed for macd + rsi confluence by QuantifiedStrategies and opofinance. We coded the rule exactly as taught and measured a 30.6% pooled win rate across n=252 trades, net of trading costs.

Method. RSI(14) crossing up through 30 while the MACD(12,26,9) histogram flips positive, long only, exit on RSI 70 or the histogram flipping negative, coded exactly as taught in the sources making the claim, not a stricter or looser version.

Data. BTC, ETH and SOL on 1h and 4h, plus 10 large US stocks and SPY/QQQ on daily bars, 2016/2017 through the 2025-03-01 discovery cutoff.

This is one line in a wider check: Tickfloor's research desk has run 351 strategies against buy-and-hold, and after correcting for how many were tested (Benjamini-Hochberg, 394 tests), 0 survived. A single win-rate claim like this one is exactly the kind of result that check exists to catch before anyone trades on it.

General information only. It doesn't consider your objectives, finances or needs. Tickfloor holds no financial services licence and never places trades.

What win rate does MACD + RSI Confluence claim online?

73 to 90% win rate, per <a href="https://www.quantifiedstrategies.com/macd-and-rsi-strategy/">QuantifiedStrategies</a> and <a href="https://blog.opofinance.com/en/stochastic-rsi-and-macd-strategy/">opofinance</a>.

What did Tickfloor measure for MACD + RSI Confluence?

30.6% across 252 trades, net of costs, coding the rule exactly as claimed.

Is this a claim about Tickfloor's own accuracy?

No. This measures a publicly claimed strategy rule, not Tickfloor's agreement score. Tickfloor makes no win-rate or accuracy claim about itself.

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